Bayesian Causal Network Modeling

This course is designed to provide the fundamental understanding and setting up of Bayesian Causal Network (BCN) models for integrative analyses. The course will provide several aspects of comprehension for Bayesian network modeling including: a) some background on bayesian modeling and its uses, b) practice based on individual interests in setting up a basic research plan for collecting appropriate data and c) using that data (or practice data for the standard format) to set up a basic network. Along the way we will look into troubleshooting common problems, how to streamline the creation of the CPT, and how to assess ways to maximize strategic outcomes.

• No prior experience with Bayesian statistics is expected.

• Various publications, webpages, and other resources introduced throughout the course

• Recorded and print lecture materials

• Tutorial videos and written materials

MAIN COURSE OBJECTIVE

To become proficient in using Netica to conduct Bayesian Causal Network (BCN) operations, model strategic outcomes, and update BCN models so that models can be used for current and future analysis.

Module 1: Introduction to Bayesian causal network (BCN) modeling concepts

• Objective: To understand the basis for Bayesian networks as well as their applications and to lay the foundation for model development.

  Outcomes:

  ▪ Develop a foundation for applying Bayesian networks

  ▪ Researching uses and frameworks for BCN to guide your design

  ▪ Discussion of research topics you will be considering for BCN use

  ▪ Annotated bibliography

Module 2: BCN preparation and Decision Nets

• Objective: To lay the structural foundation for a Bayesian network.

  Outcomes:

  ▪ Install and load Netica®

  ▪ Create an influence diagram

  ▪ Create a Decision Net

Module 3: Setting up a basic Bayesian network

• Objective: Developing proficiency in creating a functional Bayesian network.

  Outcomes:

  ▪ Creating a Bayesian Causal Network

  ▪ Simplifying the network

  ▪ Calibrating the network

  ▪ Sensitivity analysis

Module 4: Expanding and modifying your Bayesian network

• ▪ Aggregating to the model and updating with new information

  ▪ Sensitivity analysis

  ▪ Scenario testing

  ▪ Final model acts as the final exam

Module 5: (optional) Applied project creating your own applied Bayesian network

FORMAT:

• 3 months of access to course materials as you work at your own pace 

• Get instructor support for the 3-month term via email, discussion threads, group meetings, and one-on-one appointments

• After working through the course materials, set up an optional meeting with the instructor to discuss your own personal project from work or school

CONTINUING EDUCATION:

• 16 CEUs with The Wildlife Society

• Go to our Continuing Education Page for more details

CERTIFICATIONS:

• Earn 1 credit toward certification as an Associate/Certified Wildlife Biologist® (at any level) with The Wildlife Society

• Go to our Academic Credit Page for details

DATES & PRICES:

• Winter : Jan 6 - Mar 23: $425 student / $525 professional (early bird* ends Dec 2nd)

*Early bird saves $75

FORMAT:

• 12 months of access to course materials as you work at your own pace 

• Get instructor support for the 3-month term via email, discussion threads, group meetings, and one-on-one appointments

• After working through the course materials, set up an optional meeting with the instructor to discuss your own personal project from work or school

CONTINUING EDUCATION:

• 16 CEUs with The Wildlife Society

• Go to our Continuing Education Page for more details

CERTIFICATIONS:

• Earn 1 credit toward certification as an Associate/Certified Wildlife Biologist® (at any level) with The Wildlife Society

• Earn 1 credit towards a professional certificate in Applied Quantitative Ecology with CWS

• Earn an additional 1-2 academic credits with an Applied Project

• Go to our Academic Credit Page for details

DATES & PRICES:

• Winter : Jan 6 - Mar 23: $575 student / $675 professional (early bird* ends Dec 2nd)

*Early bird saves $75